The nation that will insist upon drawing a broad line of distinction between the fighting man and the thinking man is liable to find its fighting done by fools and its thinking by cowards.
-- Sir William Francis Butler
Most events that catch us by surprise are both predictable and preventable, but we consistently miss the warning signs. This book shows why such predictable surprises place us all at risk and shows how we can understand, anticipate, and prevent them before disaster strikes.